Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 1.566178 1.975218 2.534590 3.394753 4.767823 7.060280 11.727742
2025-10-12 1.102253 1.537803 2.243999 3.615389 6.710896 15.697994 73.738281
2025-10-19 0.849583 1.252128 1.971662 3.594763 8.370587 33.275616 64958.697238
2025-10-26 0.688068 1.047923 1.731096 3.433592 9.560907 69.488974 NaN
2025-11-02 0.599940 0.942456 1.631746 3.534371 12.187494 296.546434 NaN
2025-11-09 0.541853 0.875568 1.584671 3.750375 16.616995 NaN NaN
2025-11-16 0.485528 0.798848 1.488655 3.746744 20.297843 NaN NaN
2025-11-23 0.433344 0.720524 1.366142 3.570751 22.185062 NaN NaN
2025-11-30 0.406016 0.688050 1.346864 3.784391 31.695543 NaN NaN
2025-12-07 0.376141 0.645147 1.289186 3.803117 40.299028 NaN NaN
2025-12-14 0.346010 0.597434 1.207697 3.663820 45.149072 NaN NaN
2025-12-21 0.322441 0.561054 1.149575 3.606026 54.214859 NaN NaN
2025-12-28 0.314260 0.558130 1.186064 4.087939 125.702752 NaN NaN
2026-01-04 0.301111 0.542169 1.181340 4.358876 288.336922 NaN NaN
2026-01-11 0.283726 0.514197 1.133928 4.327857 487.551097 NaN NaN
2026-01-18 0.265224 0.481678 1.066382 4.115827 573.781812 NaN NaN
2026-01-25 0.254239 0.465841 1.048587 4.247670 2235.497473 NaN NaN
2026-02-01 0.246307 0.456384 1.049351 4.532212 NaN NaN NaN
2026-02-08 0.235188 0.437999 1.016941 4.527404 NaN NaN NaN
2026-02-15 0.222298 0.414167 0.962385 4.295404 NaN NaN NaN
2026-02-22 0.216512 0.407364 0.964778 4.577230 NaN NaN NaN
2026-03-01 0.208314 0.393772 0.941162 4.602040 NaN NaN NaN
2026-03-08 0.198668 0.375797 0.899421 4.417898 NaN NaN NaN